With Emmy nominations just 16 days away, I just thought I would bring this discussion back.
I don't know why but I'm getting the sense that Vanessa Williams is gonna be snubbed. Ugly Betty seems to have completely lost all buzz and momentum it had in the first season. I think America Ferrera will still be nominated, since she's more or less a perennial nominee at this point, but with a wide open Supporting Actress category with absolutely zero locks, Williams has the possibility of being snubbed.
I still think that Vincent Kartheiser will fill the sixth slot for Drama Supporting Actor. It's kind of funny that almost every person on this board is predicting Emerson, Hurt, Mahoney, Shatner, and Slattery with varying actors in the sixth slot. Although he may not be a well-known name, Kartheiser could definitely sweep in with the Mad Men love. I think he has a better shot than Aaron Paul, who many people are predicting.
And although I have covered this many times in many different threads, I honestly believe that Brenda Blethyn will be nominated and WIN for her amazing guest role on Law & Order: Special Victims Unit. It would really be a crying shame if she doesn't.
Originally posted by taloson: With Emmy nominations just 16 days away, I just thought I would bring this discussion back.
I don't know why but I'm getting the sense that Vanessa Williams is gonna be snubbed. Ugly Betty seems to have completely lost all buzz and momentum it had in the first season. I think America Ferrera will still be nominated, since she's more or less a perennial nominee at this point, but with a wide open Supporting Actress category with absolutely zero locks, Williams has the possibility of being snubbed.
I still think that Vincent Kartheiser will fill the sixth slot for Drama Supporting Actor. It's kind of funny that almost every person on this board is predicting Emerson, Hurt, Mahoney, Shatner, and Slattery with varying actors in the sixth slot. Although he may not be a well-known name, Kartheiser could definitely sweep in with the Mad Men love. I think he has a better shot than Aaron Paul, who many people are predicting.
I have to say both of these would be shocks, to me anyway. Even with a large Ugly Betty snub...Williams is a "name" and she has received two nods already and we know that more often than not the nominees look the same.
As far Kartheiser is concerned, he could sneak in but his categorey is filled with bigger names and given that he didn't make the top ten last year it seems really unlikely. All of the other possible mad men nominees (hamm, jones, moss, slattery, hendrick) have been nominated or made top ten before.
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FYC-Album of the Year: Maxwell's BLACKsummers'night
Originally posted by taloson: With Emmy nominations just 16 days away, I just thought I would bring this discussion back.
I don't know why but I'm getting the sense that Vanessa Williams is gonna be snubbed. Ugly Betty seems to have completely lost all buzz and momentum it had in the first season. I think America Ferrera will still be nominated, since she's more or less a perennial nominee at this point, but with a wide open Supporting Actress category with absolutely zero locks, Williams has the possibility of being snubbed.
I still think that Vincent Kartheiser will fill the sixth slot for Drama Supporting Actor. It's kind of funny that almost every person on this board is predicting Emerson, Hurt, Mahoney, Shatner, and Slattery with varying actors in the sixth slot. Although he may not be a well-known name, Kartheiser could definitely sweep in with the Mad Men love. I think he has a better shot than Aaron Paul, who many people are predicting.
And although I have covered this many times in many different threads, I honestly believe that Brenda Blethyn will be nominated and WIN for her amazing guest role on Law & Order: Special Victims Unit. It would really be a crying shame if she doesn't.
I agree with you about Supporting Actor. Those aren't my predictions, but everyone's probably predicting them b/c they are the most boring nominees and lord knows the Emmys like to just nominate the same people over and over again. I do hope Vincent can make it in, especially over John Slattery, who does nothing on Mad Men in comparison. It's funny that everyone is predicting Aaron Paul. That only started happening after he did his chat with Tom here. He's definitely worthy of a nomination though.
As for Vanessa Williams, I see her as a perennial nominee too and I doubt the Emmys would drop her. The comedy category really isn't that competitive compared to the drama category, but ya never know, she could be dropped.
As for my BIG SUPRISE in the nominations, I still insist that Breaking Bad will be nominated for Best Drama Series and that either Damages, House, or both will not return there for a nomination this year.
For Your Grammy Consideration: Kanye West for "Heartless" and 808's & Heartbreak Adele for "Hometown Glory" Taylor Swift for "You Belong With Me" & Fearless Maxwell for "Pretty Wings" & BLACKsummer'snight Kings of Leon for "Use Somebody" The Cast of GLEE for "Don't Stop Believin' " Mariah Carey for "Obsessed"
Originally posted by taloson: With Emmy nominations just 16 days away, I just thought I would bring this discussion back.
I don't know why but I'm getting the sense that Vanessa Williams is gonna be snubbed. Ugly Betty seems to have completely lost all buzz and momentum it had in the first season. I think America Ferrera will still be nominated, since she's more or less a perennial nominee at this point, but with a wide open Supporting Actress category with absolutely zero locks, Williams has the possibility of being snubbed.
I was thinking that as well, but I am too nervous not to predict her. I've already dropped Ferrera, but I'll most likely keep Williams. Despite having a stronger third season, I can't imagine the show will do all that well in the popular vote for this past season. Supporting Actress - Comedy is probably the one category where I feel there are 0 locks.
Thanks for the input. I'm still saying Williams is getting snubbed. If I'm wrong, it won't really matter since there are zero locks in Comedy Supporting Actress so I won't look like too much of an idiot, and if I'm right, at least I predicted it all along! lol
I've dropped Ferrera from my predictions too. Nobody seems to care about Ugly Betty anymore. However, I'd be a bit surprised if Vanessa Williams wasn't nominated, but Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series has been an odd category this decade (Conchata Ferrell's random first 2.5 Men nomination, Jaime Pressly's snub).
Here are my current predictions for Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series, just to put it in perspective:
Kristin Chenoweth, Pushing Daisies Jenna Fischer, The Office Elizabeth Perkins, Weeds Amy Poehler, Saturday Night Live Jean Smart, Samantha Who? Holland Taylor, Two and a Half Men
What's interesting about this is that you can make a case against every single one of these actresses getting nominated! That's why I'm looking forward to this category the most come July 16th.
1. Friday Night Lights 2. Breaking Bad 3. Battlestar Galactica
(and maybe two)
DRAMA Actress Mary McDonnell makes it in
DRAMA Supporting Actress Annie Wershing, 24
No one seems to be predicting this, so I will. I think both her and Cherry Jones deserve to get in, but she deserves the Emmy.
DRAMA Supporting Actor Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
COMEDY Supporting Actress Kristin Wiig, SNL
It'll shock people, but she was SO superb this season, so spot-on with her impersonations (did you see her Carol Channing?), she so completely deserves to be here.
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Originally posted by LadyHathor25: Would it be a surprise if Kiefer Sutherland was NOT nominated? I could definitely see that happening. That category is so competitive.
That's a good one. I'll add to that with 24 being snubbed in all major categories with the exception of series.
24 is getting in for Series.
Kiefer is getting nominated.
Also deserving this season: Carlos Bernard, Supporting Actor
Cherry Jones and Annie Wershing, Supporting Actress
Jon Voight, Guest Actor
I have all in my predictions at this moment.
And also, Elisabeth Moss is running in Lead, if you'll check the Emmy nominations list, not in Supporting.
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For me, everything will be a big surprise because the nominations will be by popular votes. I thnk this way because something that may be good for us for them is no over the top or whatever. So I am very scared for everyone and I just can't wait until the 16 to finally know who will be in and who will be out. I think either way we will be surprised.
Originally posted by sunflower44: For me, everything will be a big surprise because the nominations will be by popular votes. I thnk this way because something that may be good for us for them is no over the top or whatever. So I am very scared for everyone and I just can't wait until the 16 to finally know who will be in and who will be out. I think either way we will be surprised.
Yeah I'm thinking there will be a lot of suprises come nomination time since it is only popular vote and the panel has been eliminated. My fear is the suprises will be for the worse with a lot of great work being snubbed for names or popular shows
FYC-Album of the Year: Maxwell's BLACKsummers'night
1. Friday Night Lights 2. Breaking Bad 3. Battlestar Galactica
(and maybe two)
DRAMA Actress Mary McDonnell makes it in
DRAMA Supporting Actress Annie Wershing, 24
No one seems to be predicting this, so I will. I think both her and Cherry Jones deserve to get in, but she deserves the Emmy.
DRAMA Supporting Actor Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
COMEDY Supporting Actress Kristin Wiig, SNL
It'll shock people, but she was SO superb this season, so spot-on with her impersonations (did you see her Carol Channing?), she so completely deserves to be here.
I don't think Breaking Bad getting into the drama race would be a big surprise. Its star won an Emmy last year and it's received outstanding reviews. In fact, I'd be more surprised if it didn't get a nomination this year. However, I do think FNL is up for a nomination this year, whether it's for series, Kyle Chandler or Connie Britton, I'd bet one of those three happen this year. They've been pushing hard for it this year.
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Originally posted by Cederick: I doubt Chenoweth will get in. She was nominated on the strength of her tape last year, and Pushing Daisies is not going to be a major player.
While I agree that Chenoweth probably got in last year because her tape was so strong, but I think she is going to be nominated this year. She has been everywhere the past year and I bet she has met a lot of ATAS voters. She is such a likable person, I figure she has become popular enough to be in at least the top 6.
Chenoweth (and Jean Smart) remind me of Blythe Danner for the last season of Huff. The show got cancelled and had no buzz, but Danner got a nomination and ended up winning. In September I think we will see Chenoweth or Smart on that stage accepting the Emmy.
For Your Grammy Consideration: Kristin Chenoweth - in all eligible categories
Originally posted by Cederick: I doubt Chenoweth will get in. She was nominated on the strength of her tape last year, and Pushing Daisies is not going to be a major player.
While I agree that Chenoweth probably got in last year because her tape was so strong, but I think she is going to be nominated this year. She has been everywhere the past year and I bet she has met a lot of ATAS voters. She is such a likable person, I figure she has become popular enough to be in at least the top 6.
Chenoweth (and Jean Smart) remind me of Blythe Danner for the last season of Huff. The show got cancelled and had no buzz, but Danner got a nomination and ended up winning. In September I think we will see Chenoweth or Smart on that stage accepting the Emmy.
The Danner situation is an exception, not a rule. That almost never happens. Let's not forget she had multiple nominations both times she won for Huff (three Emmy nods in 2005 and two nods in 2006). I think Smart will get shown the door a la Jaime Pressly (win then no nomination). I also think Pushing Daisies will be out of the minds of most voters (I really want Chenoweth nodded, though). But, the category is such a crapshoot that everyone is going to have very different people in the six slots.
Originally posted by Neurotic21: But, the category is such a crapshoot that everyone is going to have very different people in the six slots.
That is very true. The category is so hard to predict. Plus I'm not sure if voters are willing to embrace variety shows in this category. I know Amy Poehler got nominated last year, but I believe she didn't win because it is a variety show not a comedy series. The panel of a few voters couldn't resist her hilarious submission, but I figure the majority of ATAS believed it was category fraud.
If my assumption is right then Poehler, Kristin Wiig, and Tracey Ullman will be left in the cold. But if I am wrong, all 3 may get in(Which IMO would be absurd).
I think the Supporting Actress categories have always been my favorite because they are always so crazy and in recent years have not followed a particular pattern.
For Your Grammy Consideration: Kristin Chenoweth - in all eligible categories
