I have teamed up with Robert Licuria at Awards Heaven to offer my Emmy Awards predictions. More features, special sections and nominee analysis will be coming soon.
Your comments and reactions are appreciated.
As always, make sure you also visit Rob on the main page at awardsheaven.net.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: Boomer,
Always been a fan of AwardsHeaven, and it's great that you're now in on the fun.
However, small problem: The pictures you've used have been squeezed and squished into the spots, which looks... bad. In the series category it's mostly fine, but for ones like poor Sally Field, it's a mess. If you could ask someone with Photoshop to crop, rather than squish, them into the boxes, it would look a thousand times better.
Nice job, guys! The predictions are very acurrate. Sad truth is that we're going to see the same old faces again. I hate lead actress in comedy category because with an exception of Toni Collette these are the same faces that we have seen before (Amy Phoeler shouldn't be there just YET). I'd like to see now blood!
Wow! You are admirably optimistic. You think January Jones, Elisabeth Moss, AND Jeanne Tripplehorn are lead actress nominees at the expense of Holly Hunter and perennial nominee Mariska Hargitay. I hope you're right, but it might be wishful thinking. I hope you're also right about John Mahoney and Aaron Paul securing supporting actor nominations. Either could easily win.
Question: What is Tracey Ullman a supporting contender for? "State of the Union"? Isn't that her show? As in, she's completely a lead in it?
One bone of contention: You've left out Lee Pace -- completely! I don't think he'll be nominated, but surely last year's nominee has a better chance than some of your also rans, like James Roday, who has never been on the radar, and Zachary Levi, who we have no reason to believe Emmy voters will suddenly embrace. And does anybody even know Brad Garrett's show still exists? That's not to say Roday and Levi aren't deserving (though I'm not always a fan of Roday's assault of glibness), but Lee Pace would rank ahead of them in terms of likelihood, despite the cancellation of his show.
"A movie is not good because it arrives at conclusions you share, or bad because it does not. A movie is not about what it is about. It is about how it is about it: about the way it considers its subject matter, and about how its real subject may be quite different from the one it seems to provide." - Roger Ebert, from the introduction to "Awake in the Dark" (2006)
Based on the last info I had, Lee Pace and Anna Friel were not entered into the races this year. That might have changed, but I was basing my predictions on this.
Yes, unfortunately Tracy Ullman is forced to enter the comedy supporting race for her own show.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: Boomer,
But why isn't FNL in the 'long shot with a slight chance' list? It made the Top 10 the past two years and has more of a chance at getting nominated then any of the 6 in that list.
Best I can tell, FNL doesn't have any campaign supporting it at all this year. It is entered in the main categories, but no publicity or screeners or attention. I think all 18 shows mentioned have a better shot than it does.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: Boomer,
Not sure if I agree with all your predictions, but I absolutely love the website Boomer!
P.S. I hope you're right about How I Met Your Mother breaking through in Comedy Series and the 3 ladies of Mad Men finally being recognized!
For Your Grammy Consideration: Kanye West for "Heartless" and 808's & Heartbreak Adele for "Hometown Glory" Taylor Swift for "You Belong With Me" & Fearless Maxwell for "Pretty Wings" & BLACKsummer'snight Kings of Leon for "Use Somebody" The Cast of GLEE for "Don't Stop Believin' " Mariah Carey for "Obsessed"
Cool website and good predictions. But I doubt emmy voters are going to put Tripplehorn, Moss, and Jones in at the expense of Hargitay and Hunter. I think only Jones will make it in.
And I think I'll combust if Chandra Wilson gets in over Sandra Oh. Wilson was a top contender for her work last season and probably should have won based on the work she did throughout the year, but she's been just plain bad this year with the exception of a few episodes where she is mediocre (and one where she was great). Oh has been luminous. I also think Bergen may get in before Griffiths does.
I wonder if you're right about Boston Legal not having the top ten and being hurt by not having been on for so long.
Also, I don't know, but are emmy voters really that hot on Conchords? I always thought with 6 nominees and the popular ballot that Weeds would be a shoo-in for its first nom. I hope HIMYM makes it into the top race!
Why no Jason Segel at least "long shots". I would actually put him ahead of Fred Armisen. If HIMYM can make it in than Segel should be a top contender. He had "I Love You, Man" come out earlier this year which gave him a lot of positive reviews and it was a mid-range hit. I actually think he'll sneak into the top 6 ahead of Tracy Morgan or Kevin Dillon.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: G.Penn,
Excellent website, i don't agree with all of your picks, in particular i don't see Molly Shannon having even a snowballs chance in heck of being nominated and i see a few small omissions but other than that, great website.
Praying The Daytime Emmys air on TV in 2010!
Posts: 20035 | Location: just outside Providence, Rhode Island | Registered: July 28, 2002
well anytime somebody makes this kind of effort is always appreciated....I'd love to read all the analysis here and on Rob's website...
About Drama: 24? Seriously? I would much rather predict and see Grey's Anatomy there with there excellent final episodes this season. 24 was pure crap. I think In treatment and True Blood have a better shot than 24, maybe even Big Love. Don't think anybody was crazy about 24.
Actress: Elizabeth Moss should've been here last year, this year she has no business being Lead or nominated at all. January Jones should take that spot. Anna Paquinn should be there but I know it's difficult and this might be the year Mariska finally gets out of the list, unless they prepared something really baity for her as usual.
Actor: that's as good and as logical as it gets. Even with Kiefer there.
Sup Actor: Slattery and Hurt? What for? I mean they might get in but GOD!...those two had nothing to do. Holloway deserves a shot here.
Sup Actress: it'll be a sad day if Hendricks and Harden get in over Oh and Byrne. Sad sad embarrassing day. And Chloe Sevigny? She should win.
Comedy: Flight over the rest? I don't think so, love the show, love the guys but no. It'll be nice but that's a huge long shot. I think Weeds finally breaks through. If a CBS show gets in, it should be Big Bang not Mother. And before Emmys go the right and updated way, I suspect they'll turn back to their favorites and past nominees with so many spaces to fill, I'll bet they'll go to Betty or the Housewives first. Hopefully not, but it could happen, maybe even Tara.
Actor: you'd think that with 6 spaces Jason Lee would finally get in....I think this is safe. Maybe Braff instead of Parsons because that's just the way the world goes...
Actress: I think it's between Poheler and Applegate for the final slot. And they might go with Poheler.
Sup Actor: looks good and easy to me.
Sup Actress: why is Tracey Ullman supporting? And I hope Kristen Wiig gets in. Krakowski better break through with so much space and so little favorites.
Originally posted by jbboy: Um, How is Tracy Ullman a contender for SUPPORTING comedy actress? Anyone?
It's explained in the Emmy campaign submissions thread, but in a nutshell, that's the only option she had since the Individual Performance in a Variety Program category has been disbanded. That's where she would have been eligible since her name is in the title. She could get in along with the show in Variety Series, but that category's fairly locked in with the usual contenders, so she wouldn't have had a shot there. Now she has to treat herself as a supporting player like Amy Poehler would for "Saturday Night Live." If she gets nominated this way and somehow wins, maybe that will be the push necessary to get the Individual Variety Performance category back in play next year, or better yet, split it up like it should have been done all-along between hosts of specials (music programs or comedy specials/awards shows/"SNL" hosts) in one category and the hosts of the late-night talk shows in another category.
quote:
Sup Actor: Slattery and Hurt? What for? I mean they might get in but GOD!...those two had nothing to do.
Both of them have great tapes to submit, so for that, I'd be fine with their nods.
Congratulations, Primetime Emmy Winners!
Comedy Series: 30 ROCK Drama Series: MAD MEN Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: Alec Baldwin, 30 ROCK Lead Actress in a Comedy Series: Toni Collette, UNITED STATES OF TARA Lead Actor in a Drama Series: Bryan Cranston, BREAKING BAD Lead Actress in a Drama Series: Glenn Close, DAMAGES Guest Actress in a Comedy Series: Tina Fey, SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE Guest Actress in a Drama Series: Ellen Burstyn, LAW & ORDER: SPECIAL VICTIMS UNIT
Posts: 24723 | Location: North Carolina, USA | Registered: April 11, 2005
Originally posted by Boomer: Based on the last info I had, Lee Pace and Anna Friel were not entered into the races this year. That might have changed, but I was basing my predictions on this.
Yes, unfortunately Tracy Ullman is forced to enter the comedy supporting race for her own show.
I'm very surprised Lee Pace and Anna Friel wouldn't even have been submitted for consideration. It appears Kristin Chenoweth was, so what gives?
As for Ullman, couldn't she compete for lead actress in a comedy series? She's by no means a supporting actress on her own show. I'm not a big fan of lumping variety and regular comedy performers together as it is, but this is just ridiculous. I love Ullman, but no way in hell do I want to see her take a supporting spot away from actors with true supporting roles.
"A movie is not good because it arrives at conclusions you share, or bad because it does not. A movie is not about what it is about. It is about how it is about it: about the way it considers its subject matter, and about how its real subject may be quite different from the one it seems to provide." - Roger Ebert, from the introduction to "Awake in the Dark" (2006)
No, they haven't made that leap yet for lead variety performers to go for the comedy categories. If your name was in the title, you would be campaigned in Individual Performance in a Variety Program. If you were one of the ensemble players, you would be entered into supporting actor/actress in a comedy series. Now that the Individual Performance category has been disbanded, there's no other choice but to go supporting. It's the loophole created by eliminating the category that they should be eligible in. She took that chance since she wouldn't get into the Variety Series category. If Tracey Ullman went lead comedy, then that's where Stephen Colbert would have to go too, and all of the other variety hosts doing sketch shows and late-night shows, which they'd never do. The best thing to do is to get the Individual Performance category back in play as a single category or two separate ones.
Congratulations, Primetime Emmy Winners!
Comedy Series: 30 ROCK Drama Series: MAD MEN Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: Alec Baldwin, 30 ROCK Lead Actress in a Comedy Series: Toni Collette, UNITED STATES OF TARA Lead Actor in a Drama Series: Bryan Cranston, BREAKING BAD Lead Actress in a Drama Series: Glenn Close, DAMAGES Guest Actress in a Comedy Series: Tina Fey, SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE Guest Actress in a Drama Series: Ellen Burstyn, LAW & ORDER: SPECIAL VICTIMS UNIT
Posts: 24723 | Location: North Carolina, USA | Registered: April 11, 2005
God this whole thing is stupid. And to think they were considering an Emmy for Reality Judge while they were getting rid of the valuable individual performance category. ATAS has made a ridiculous mess of things. Still, Ullman has enough Emmys (seven total!). If she takes a spot -- or God forbid the actual award -- from a legitimate supporting actress (or ensemble players like Poehler and Wiig for that matter) because of a dumb loophole, it would be an outrage. I would rather that she withdrew her name in protest to bring back the individual performance category.
"A movie is not good because it arrives at conclusions you share, or bad because it does not. A movie is not about what it is about. It is about how it is about it: about the way it considers its subject matter, and about how its real subject may be quite different from the one it seems to provide." - Roger Ebert, from the introduction to "Awake in the Dark" (2006)
The predictions are very acurrate. Sad truth is that we're going to see the same old faces again. I hate lead actress in comedy category because with an exception of Toni Collette these are the same faces that we have seen before (Amy Phoeler shouldn't be there just YET). I'd like to see now blood!