I have finally updated the list after a few months, so here it is:

BEST PICTURE

Frontrunners

(“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
(“Revolutionary Road”)

Lead Ponies

(“Australia”)
(“Changeling”)
(“Doubt”)
(“Frost/Nixon”)
("Milk")
(“Slumdog Millionaire”)

In the Running

(“Blindness”)
("The Dark Knight")
(“Happy Go Lucky”)
(“Hunger”)
(“Rachel Getting Married”)
(“The Reader”)
("The Road")
(“Synecdoche, New York”)
("The Visitor")
("W.")
(“Wall-E”)

Dark Horses

(“Body Of Lies”)
(“Burn After Reading”)
(“Che”)
(“Gran Torino”)
(“Miracle At St. Anna”)
(“Seven Pounds”)
(“Skin”)
(“The Soloist”)

BEST DIRECTOR

Frontrunners

Clint Eastwood for (“Changeling”)
David Fincher for (“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
Sam Mendes for (“Revolutionary Road”)

Lead Ponies

Danny Boyle for (“Slumdog Millionaire”)
Ron Howard for (“Frost/Nixon”)
Charlie Kaufman for (“Synecdoche, New York”)
Baz Luhrmann for (“Australia”)
Christopher Nolan for ("The Dark Knight")
John Patrick Shanley for (“Doubt”)
Oliver Stone for ("W.")
Gus Van Sant for (“Milk”)

In the Running

Darren Aronofsky for (“The Wrestler”)
Stephen Daldry for (“The Reader”)
Clint Eastwood for (“Gran Torino”)
Mike Leigh for ("Happy Go Lucky")
Steve McQueen for (“Hunger”)
Ridley Scott for (“Body Of Lies”)
Steven Soderbergh for (“Che”)
Andrew Stanton for ("Wall-E")

Dark Horses

Spike Lee for (“Miracle At St. Anna”)
Fernando Meirelles for (“Blindness”)
Tarsem Singh for (“The Fall”)
Joe Wright for (“The Soloist”)
Edward Zwick for (“Defiance”)

BEST ACTOR

Frontrunners

Leonardo DiCaprio in (“Revolutionary Road”)
Frank Langella in (“Frost/Nixon”)

Lead Ponies

Josh Brolin in ("W.")
Benicio Del Toro in ("Che")
Michael Fassbender in (“Hunger”)
Philip Seymour Hoffman in (“Synecdoche, New York”)
Richard Jenkins in ("The Visitor")
Sean Penn in (“Milk”)
Brad Pitt in (“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
Mickey Rourke in (“The Wrestler”)

In the Running

Daniel Craig in ("Defiance")
Robert De Niro in (“What Just Happened?”)
Leonardo DiCaprio in (“Body of Lies”)
Clint Eastwood in (“Gran Torino”)
Ralph Fiennes in ("The Reader")
Jamie Foxx in (“The Soloist”)
Dustin Hoffman in (“Last Chance Harvey”)
Philip Seymour Hoffman in ("Doubt")
Hugh Jackman in ("Australia")
Martin Landau in (“Lovely, Still”)
Viggo Mortensen in ("The Road")
Dev Patel in (“Slumdog Millionaire”)
Sam Rockwell in ("Choke")
Will Smith in ("Seven Pounds")

Dark Horses

Robert Downey Jr. in (“Iron Man”)
Harrison Ford in (“Indiana Jones And The Crystal Skull”)
Jake Gyllenhaal in (“Brothers”)
Ed Harris in ("Appaloosa")
Josh Hartnett in ("August")
Ben Kingsley in (“Elegy”)
Jared Leto in (“Chapter 27”)
Viggo Mortensen in ("Good")
Lee Pace in (“The Fall”)
Alan Rickman in ("Bottle Shock")

BEST ACTRESS

Frontrunners

Anne Hathaway in ("Rachel Getting Married")
Angelina Jolie in (“Changeling”)
Kate Winslet in (“Revolutionary Road”)

Lead Ponies

Shohreh Aghdashloo in (“The Stoning of Soraya M.”)
Sally Hawkins in (“Happy Go Lucky”)
Kristin Scott Thomas in (“I’ve Loved You So Long”)
Meryl Streep in (“Doubt”)

In the Running

Kate Beckinsale in ("Nothing But The Truth")
Cate Blanchett in (“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
Emily Blunt in (“The Young Victoria”)
Ellen Burstyn in (“Lovely, Still”)
Penelope Cruz in (“Elegy”)
Nicole Kidman in (“Australia”)
Keira Knightley in (“The Duchess”)
Melissa Leo in (“Frozen River”)
Julianne Moore in (“Blindness”)
Sophie Okonedo in ("Skin")
Sarah Jessica Parker in (“Sex And The City: The Movie”)
Amanda Seyfried in ("Mamma Mia")
Meryl Streep in (“Mamma Mia”)
Emma Thompson in (“Last Chance Harvey”)

Dark Horses

Summer Bishil in ("Towelhead")
Dakota Fanning in ("The Secret Life Of Bees")
Helen Hunt in (“Then She Found Me”)
Norah Jones in (“My Blueberry Nights”)
Keira Knightley in (“The Edge Of Love”)
Diane Lane in (“Nights In Rodanthe”)
Frances McDormand in (“Miss Pettigrew Lives For A Day”)
Julianne Moore in (“Savage Grace”)
Samantha Morton in ("Expired")
Ellen Page in (“The Tracey Fragments”)
Natalie Portman in ("Brothers")

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Frontrunners

Robert Downey, Jr. in (“The Soloist”)
Heath Ledger in (“The Dark Knight”)

Lead Ponies

Josh Brolin in (“Milk”)
Jason Butler Harner in ("Changeling")
James Cromwell in (“W.”)
Robert Downey Jr. in (“Tropic Thunder”)
James Franco in (“Milk”)
John Malkovich in (“Changeling”)
Peter O’Toole in (“Dean Spanley”)
Liev Schreiber in (“Defiance”)
Michael Shannon in (“Revolutionary Road”)
Michael Sheen in ("Frost/Nixon")
Kodi Smit-McPhee in ("The Road")

In the Running

Jerry Adler in (“The Memory Thief”)
Alan Alda in ("Nothing But The Truth")
Jamie Bell in (“Defiance”)
Demián Bichir in ("Che")
Russell Crowe in ("Body Of Lies")
Tom Cruise in (“Tropic Thunder”)
Aaron Eckhart in ("The Dark Knight")
Dennis Hopper in (“Elegy”)
Ben Kingsley in (“Transsiberian”)
Sam Neill in ("Skin")
Brad Pitt in ("Burn After Reading")
Haaz Sleiman in (“The Visitor”)
Tom Wilkinson in ("RocknRolla")

Dark Horses

Kevin Bacon in (“Frost/Nixon”)
George Clooney in ("Burn After Reading")
James Franco in (“Pineapple Express”)
Bruno Ganz in (“The Reader”)
Brendan Gleeson in ("In Bruges")
Danny Glover in (“Blindness”)
Emile Hirsch in (“Milk”)
Richard Jenkins in ("Burn After Reading")
John Leguizamo in (“Paraiso Travel”)
John Malkovich in ("Burn After Reading")
Josh Peck in (“The Wackness”)
Oliver Platt in (“Frost/Nixon”)
Maximilian Schell in (“The Brothers Bloom”)
J.K. Simmons in ("Burn After Reading")
David Strathairn in (“My Blueberry Nights”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Frontrunners

Amy Adams in (“Doubt”)
Kate Winslet in (“The Reader”)

Lead Ponies

Hiam Abbass in ("The Visitor")
Elizabeth Banks in ("W.")
Kathy Bates in (“Revolutionary Road”)
Penelope Cruz in (“Vicky Cristina Barcelona”)
Viola Davis in (“Doubt”)
Rosemarie DeWitt in ("Rachel Getting Married")
Taraji P. Henson in (“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
Felicity Huffman in ("Phoebe In Wonderland")
Frances McDormand in (“Burn After Reading”)
Marisa Tomei in (“The Wrestler”)
Debra Winger in ("Rachel Getting Married")
Elsa Zylberstein in (“I’ve Loved You So Long”)

In the Running

Ellen Burstyn in (“W.”)
Vera Farmiga in (“Nothing But The Truth”)
Jennifer Hudson in ("The Secret Life Of Bees")
Queen Latifah in ("The Secret Life Of Bees")
Kelly MacDonald in ("Choke")
Rachel McAdams in (“Married Life”)
Bette Midler in (“Then She Found Me”)
Thandie Newton in ("W.")
Amy Ryan in (“Changeling”)
Meryl Streep in (“Dark Matter”)
Charlize Theron in ("The Road")
Emma Thompson in (“Brideshead Revisited”)
Dianne Wiest in (“Synecdoche, New York”)

Dark Horses

Amy Adams in (“Miss Pettigrew Lives For A Day”)
Christine Baranski in (“Mamma Mia”)
Cate Blanchett in (“Indiana Jones And The Crystal Skull”)
Mariah Carey in (“Tennessee”)
Kim Catrall in (“Sex And The City: The Movie”)
Hope Davis in (“Synecdoche, New York”)
Anjelica Huston in ("Choke")
Jennifer Jason Leigh in (“Synecdoche, New York”)
Catherine Keener in (“Synecdoche, New York”)
Alicia Keys in ("The Secret Life Of Bees")
Sienna Miller in (“The Edge Of Love”)
Samantha Morton in (“Mister Lonely”)
Samantha Morton in (“Synecdoche, New York”)
Cynthia Nixon in (“Sex And The City: The Movie”)
Sandra Oh in (“Blindness”)
Sophie Okonedo in ("The Secret Life Of Bees")
Elisabeth Shue in ("Hamlet 2")
Tilda Swinton in (“Burn After Reading”)
Tilda Swinton in (“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
Carice van Houten in (“Body Of Lies”)
Julie Walters in (“Mamma Mia”)
Emily Watson in (“Synecdoche, New York””)
Michelle Williams in (“Synecdoche, New York”)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Frontrunners

(“The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button”)
(“Revolutionary Road”)

Lead Ponies

(“Doubt”)
(“Frost/Nixon”)
(“The Reader”)
(“The Road”)
(“Slumdog Millionaire”)

In the Running

(“Body Of Lies”)
("The Dark Knight")
(“The Soloist”)

Dark Horses

(“Blindness”)
(“Che”)
(“Defiance”)
(“The Fall”)
(“Miracle At St. Anna”)
(“Then She Found Me”)
(“Towelhead”)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Frontrunners

(“Changeling”)
(“Happy Go Lucky”)
(“Synecdoche, New York”)
("The Visitor")

Lead Ponies

("Burn After Reading")
(“Milk”)
(“Nothing But The Truth”)
(“Rachel Getting Married”)
(“Vicky Cristina Barcelona”)
("Wall-E")

In the Running

(“Australia”)
("Che")
(“Hunger”)
(“I’ve Loved You So Long”)
(“Lovely, Still”)
(“The Wackness”)

Dark Horses

(“The Brothers Bloom”)
(“Gran Torino”)
(“Seven Pounds”)

This message has been edited. Last edited by: bocaboy7,

Kristin Scott Thomas is IN.

My 1st Oscar Predix of this season

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kristin Scott Thomas - I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road

Best Picture:
1) "Revolutionary Road"
2) "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
3) "Changeling"
4) "Milk"
5) "The Wrestler" (call me crazy but I think it will be the big winner with the critics this year)

Other Possibiilites:
6) "Doubt"- I think the acting will be better than the movie.
7) "Frost/Nixon"- see above.
8) "Australia"- Could be fantastic, could be a bloated epic a la "Cold Mountain".

Best Director:
1) Clint Eastwood- "Changeling"
2) David Fincher- "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
3) Sam Mendes- "Revolutionary Road"
4) Gus Van Sant- "Milk"
5) Darren Aronofsky- "The Wrestler"

Other Possibiilites:
6) Christopher Nolan- "The Dark Knight"
7) Steven Soderbergh- "Che"
8) Baz Luhrman- "Australia"

Best Actor:
1) Frank Langella- "Frost/Nixon"
2) Mickey Rourke- "The Wrestler"
3) Leonardo DiCaprio- "Revolutionry Road"
4) Sean Penn- "Milk"
5) Brad Pitt- "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"

Other Possibilities:
6) Benicio Del Toro- "Che"- I think a lot of voters will not sit through a movie that long. Some of the older voters may not even want to watch or support a movie about a Communist revolutionary.
7) Richard Jenkins- "The Visitor"

Best Actress:
1) Meryl Streep- "Doubt"
2) Angelina Jolie- "Changeling"
3) Kate Winslet- "Revolutionary Road"
4) Anne Hathaway- "Rachel Getting Married"
5) Kristin Scott Thomas- "I've Loved You So Long"

Other Possibilities:
6) Sally Hawkins- "Happy-Go-Lucky"
7) Melissa Leo- "Frozen River"
(I think the critics awards are going to go to indie gals Hawkins, Leo and Thomas but I only think there is space for one amongst the nominees. I'm going with Scott Thomas as a past Oscar nominee and think her being the front-runner for best actress at the Tonys helps her as well.)

Best Supporting Actor:
1) Heath Ledger- "The Dark Knight"
2) Michael Sheen- "Frost/Nixon"
3) Josh Brolin- "Milk"
4) Michael Shannon- "Revolutionary Road"
5) James Franco- "Milk"

Other Possibilities:
6) Robert Downey Jr.- "The Soloist"/"Tropic Thunder"- You can keep trying to push Downey Jr. on me but I think both his films have problems. He's hilarious in "Tropic Thunder" but it's really not the kind of thing Oscars care about. "The Soloist" looks like sappy trash that is likely to be ripped apart by the critics. Jamie Foxx seems really phony in the film and I say if he is not in the running for best actor than Downey Jr. will not be for supporting.

Best Supporting Actress:
1) Penelope Cruz- "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
2) Amy Adams- "Doubt"
3) Marisa Tomei- "The Wrestler"
4) Viola Davis- "Doubt"
5) Debra Winger- "Rachel Getting Married"

Other Possibilities:
6) Kate Winslet- "The Reader"- I just don't believe voters will consider it supporting.

Adapted Screenplay:
1) "Revolutionary Road"
2) "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
3) "Doubt"
4) "Frost/Nixon"
5) "Slumdog Millionaire"

Other Possibilities:
6) "The Reader"

Best Original Screenplay:
1) "Milk"
2) "Changeling"
3) "The Wrestler"
4) "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
5) "The Visitor"

Other Possibilities:
6) "Happy Go Lucky"
7) "Rachel Getting Married"

This message has been edited. Last edited by: pacinofan,

EDIT: What with Hoffman (Doubt) and Sheen (Frost/Nixon) being pushed as Lead now, my predictions are going to have to get a slight kick in the pants.

BEST PICTURE
Changeling
Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Revolutionary Road
ALT: Slumdog Millionaire, Frost/Nixon, Australia

BEST DIRECTOR
Clint Eastwood, Changeling
David Fincher, Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Baz Luhrmann, Australia
Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road
Gus Van Sant, Milk
ALT: Danny Boyle, Slumdog; Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon; Christopher Nolan, Dark Knight

BEST ACTOR
Benicio Del Toro, Che
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
ALT: Brad Pitt, Benjamin Button; Richard Jenkins, The Visitor; Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino; Michael Sheen, Doubt

BEST ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kristen Scott-Thomas, I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
ALT: Melissa Leo, Frozen River; Cate Blanchett, Benjamin Button; Sally Hawkins, Happy Go Lucky

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., The Soloist
Heath Ledger, Dark Knight
John Malkovich, Changeling
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road
ALT: James Franco, Milk

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Kate Winslet, The Reader
ALT: Amy Ryan, Changeling; Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
ALT: Doubt

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Changeling
Happy Go Lucky
Milk
Synedoche, New York
The Visitor
ALT: The Wrestler; Vicky Cristina Barcelona; Wall*E

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian - "The Call" (Regina Spektor)
Wall*E - "Down to Earth" (Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman)
The Wrestler - "The Wrestler" (Bruce Springsteen)

This message has been edited. Last edited by: Dr. McPhearson,

Doc, I'm fairly certain that Vicky Cristina Barcelona, is an original screenplay, written by my favorite neurotic.

quote:

Originally posted by babypook:
Doc, I'm fairly certain that Vicky Cristina Barcelona, is an original screenplay, written by my favorite neurotic.

Actually he's got adapted and original screenplays flipped.

quote:

Originally posted by pacinofan:
Best Actor:
1) Frank Langella- "Frost/Nixon"
2) Mickey Rourke- "The Wrestler"
3) Leonardo DiCaprio- "Revolutionry Road"
4) Sean Penn- "Milk"
5) Brad Pitt- "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"

Other Possibilities:
6) Benicio Del Toro- "Che"- I think a lot of voters will not sit through a movie that long. Some of the older voters may not even want to watch or support a movie about a Communist revolutionary.
7) Richard Jenkins- "The Visitor"

Best Actress:
1) Meryl Streep- "Doubt"
2) Angelina Jolie- "Changeling"
3) Kate Winslet- "Revolutionary Road"
4) Anne Hathaway- "Rachel Getting Married"
5) Sally Hawkins- "Happy Go Lucky"

Other Possibilities:
6) Kristen Scott Thomas- "I've Loved You So Long"
7) Melissa Leo- "Frozen River"
(I think the critics awards are going to go to indie gals Hawkins, Leo and Thomas but I only think there is space for one amongst the nominees. I'm going with Hawkins because Mike Leigh is good at getting people noms while "Frozen River" is super-tiny and "I've Loved You So Long" is in French.)

As of now, we have exactly the same Best Actor and Actress predictions pacinofan.

You're right. Of course, I dont have the courage to make any predictions at this point, save to say that CHOKE deserves some notice here...Sam Rockwell, for starters...and Clark Gregg for adapted.

quote:

Originally posted by babypook:
You're right. Of course, I dont have the courage to make any predictions at this point, save to say that CHOKE deserves some notice here...Sam Rockwell, for starters...and Clark Gregg for adapted.

The reviews were not very good so I think that ship might have sailed.

Well; there's a lot of sex, x-rated vocabulary, and nudity in it. I'll side with the Special and Grand Jury Prize. I'm going to add it to my eventual predix list as well, just to be, contrarian, and support one of my favorites this year.

quote:

Originally posted by babypook:
Doc, I'm fairly certain that Vicky Cristina Barcelona, is an original screenplay, written by my favorite neurotic.

Actually, PacinoFan's right. I just put the wrong heading on those two prediction categories.

As for Woody Allen, he's pretty much nominated for Original Screenplay more than any other writer that comes to mind. Even though he's not on my predictions, I'll be surprised if he doesn't make it in.

I thought his screenplay, was just, ok. It isnt one of his classic sp's, imo, so I hesitate to cite it for osp. But, you're very right in that, it's Woody Allen. Having him back even in semi-form is generally fine with me.

quote:

Originally posted by babypook:
It isnt one of his classic sp's, imo, so I hesitate to cite it for osp.

Dear, are you writing a classified ad for the paper?

October seems close enough to finally make a public list for me. If I do it too soon, I run the risk of getting too attached to a film or person, but if I wait to late then there's not as much glory to be had if I do happen to get it right.

Best Picture
Changeling
The Dark Knight
Gran Torino
Milk
The Wrestler

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler
Clint Eastwood, Changeling
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk

(I don't expect both categories to line up, but I don't know who I would leave out at this point.)

Best Actor
Benicio Del Toro, Che
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kristen Scott-Thomas, I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., The Soloist
Heath Ledger, Dark Knight
John Malkovich, Changeling
Doua Moua, Gran Torino (I think this is the actor playing the teenager who steals Eastwood's character's car.)

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Screenplay
Changeling
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Vicky Christina Bacelona
The Wrestler

quote:

Originally posted by Mrs. Daryl Zero:
October seems close enough to finally make a public list for me. If I do it too soon, I run the risk of getting too attached to a film or person, but if I wait to late then there's not as much glory to be had if I do happen to get it right.

Best Picture
Changeling
The Dark Knight
Gran Torino
Milk
The Wrestler

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler
Clint Eastwood, Changeling
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk

(I don't expect both categories to line up, but I don't know who I would leave out at this point.)

Best Actor
Benicio Del Toro, Che
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kristen Scott-Thomas, I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., The Soloist
Heath Ledger, Dark Knight
John Malkovich, Changeling
Doua Moua, Gran Torino (I think this is the actor playing the teenager who steals Eastwood's character's car.)

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Screenplay
Changeling
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Vicky Christina Bacelona
The Wrestler

Wow. Someone is really pushing Gran Torino. Personally, it sounds like nothing more than a possible Actor nod for Clint to me. Also very surprised to see The Wrestler with both Picture and Director among that. Glad to see Dark Knight with Adapted Screenplay and Director.

Does anyone think that Ledger might not be the only acting nom Dark Knight receives? I'm, of course, thinking of Aaron Eckhart and, my personal favorite in the film, character actor Gary Oldman. With no real frontrunners in that category so far other than Ledger and Downey Jr. in Tropic Thunder, it might just happen. (At least at the Golden Globes)

Best Picture
Australia
Changeling
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road

Best Director
Clint Eastwood, Changeling
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Baz Luhrman, Australia
Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road

Best Actor
Benicio Del Toro, Che
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Will Smith, Seven Pounds

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kirstin Scott Thomas, I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder
Dennis Hopper, Elegy
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Peter O'Toole, Dean Spanley
Michael Sheen, Frost/Nixon

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Doubt
Kathy Bates, Revolutionary Road
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

quote:

Originally posted by Dr. McPhearson:
Wow. Someone is really pushing Gran Torino. Personally, it sounds like nothing more than a possible Actor nod for Clint to me. Also very surprised to see The Wrestler with both Picture and Director among that. Glad to see Dark Knight with Adapted Screenplay and Director.

Yes, Gran Torino might only receive a Best Actor nomination, but I'm worried about committing to Australia, Revolutionary Road, Benjamin Button, or Frost/Nixon right now. They really love Clint, so I could see him being showered with nominations again. I want to put Australia or The Curious Case of Benjamin Button in its place because I think those two can really sweep the technical nominations and pick up an acting nomination or two. However, I'm worried that Australia is going to be like Cold Mountain because they have started to go away from awarding epics, and they've never been a fan of David Fincher, so I'm not sure they'll recognize him now.

quote:

Does anyone think that Ledger might not be the only acting nom Dark Knight receives? I'm, of course, thinking of Aaron Eckhart and, my personal favorite in the film, character actor Gary Oldman. With no real frontrunners in that category so far other than Ledger and Downey Jr. in Tropic Thunder, it might just happen. (At least at the Golden Globes)

I think Ledger will be the only acting nomination it receives because usually supporting actor is one of the most competitive categories, imo, and I think Ledger's performance overshadowed Aaron Eckhart's and Gary Oldman's too much for them to have a realistic shot. It's too bad that perhaps they couldn't have written better material for Maggie Gyllenhaal because she might have been able to pick up her first nomination since I think they are just dying to nominate her, but she's not quite broken through yet to getting an actual nomination yet.

This message has been edited. Last edited by: Mrs. Daryl Zero,

Do you think Robert Downey Jr. will be nominated more for his work on IRON MAN, TROPIC THUNDER and THE SOLOIST rather than his acting in one specific role?