We are two months far from the release of this musical. The film has one of the best cast ever in many years and there has been much talk about its Oscar chances.
Starring:
Academy Award winner Daniel Day Lewis Academy Award winner Marion Cotillard Academy Award winner Nicole Kidman Academy Award winner Judi Dench Academy Award winner Penelope Cruz Academy Award winner Sophia Lorean Academy Award nominee Kate Hudson and Grammy winner Stacy Ferguson "Fergie"
In early screening tests reviews has said that Cotillard´s role has 2 songs and more screentime , each other girl just one song. "Nine" is one of the reasons why Harvey Weinstein wanted "The Reader" released last year so all his campaign efforts go to this one in 2009. Maybe Marion is gonna be campaigned as Lead so another girl can get in. As we read Dench´s and Cruz´parts are said to be Oscar worthy, but the Academy will love to nominate Sophia Loren at age 75, just because the legend factor? can Marshall finallly get the Best Director? What do you expect from this film?
These are my Oscar predictions for the film version of "NINE"
Best Picture Best Director- Rob Marshall Best Actor- Daniel day- Lewis Best Sup. Actress Judi Dench Sophia Loren Marion Cotillard Best Adapted Screenplay Best Costumes Best Art Direction Best Original Song Best Film Editing Best Cinematography Best Sound Mixing
12 nominations for NINE
Posts: 261 | Location: long island NY | Registered: October 30, 2008
Originally posted by oscarnutlen: These are my Oscar predictions for the film version of "NINE"
Best Picture Best Director- Rob Marshall Best Actor- Daniel day- Lewis Best Sup. Actress Judi Dench Sophia Loren Marion Cotillard Best Adapted Screenplay Best Costumes Best Art Direction Best Original Song Best Film Editing Best Cinematography Best Sound Mixing
12 nominations for NINE
Penelope Cruz has gotten the best early buzz, she has the show's best (and sexiest) song and Jane Krakowski fairly recently won a Tony for the role and she does not make your line-up? Frankly I have barley heard anything about Sophia Loren.
Posts: 27284 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003
If I was to predict the noms for "Nine" I would go...
Best Picture Best Director Best Actor Best Supporting Actor- Penelope Cruz Best Supporting Actress- Marion Cotillard Best Cinematography Best Art Direction Best Costume Design Best Editing Best Sound Mixing
10 Nominations
Could see Judi Dench replacing or added to the other best supporting actress nominees but I am thinking three nominees is a hurdle it may not be able to overcome. Also, could be nominated for its screenplay but musicals often are not... the book was the biggest complaint about the original stage show.
Could see Daniel Day Lewis not being a nominee, especially if the ladies outshine him, but for now I have him in my nominations.
Posts: 27284 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003
I've been wondering for a while, could this film be a big box office flop?
Irregardless of whether it's good or not, it has a ton on international stars, not American stars, which could hurt its total haul.
I've been thinking about its box office prospects only because I think it's a film that will get a better oscar reception if it has high ticket sales.
What do others think? It will be interesting to see what its competition is like on opening weekend, what the reviews say, and what the ad campaign looks like.
Who knows though, it could be like Chicago and bring in a ton of money without ever being number one.
Irregardless of whether it's good or not, it has a ton on international stars, not American stars, which could hurt its total haul.
Because foreign audiences, who sometimes are 2/3s of the total, only want to see films with American stars?
Part of the point of all the non-American actors is to enhance its appeal around the world. I don't know if that is the way it will work out. But I don't get your point, at least as regards it being successful financially.
Will it be successful domestically? It's obviously going to do well internationally.
I'm just looking over the list of actors and it made me think of Kidman's last film "Austrailia" which didn't do well domestically. Of course there are other factors for that, but I remember reading part of the problem is that she's more of an international star than a domestic star.
DDL's last film, "There Will Be Blood", only grossed 40 million domestically.
"Notes on a Scandal", according to wikipedia(so not sure how true that is), cost 15 million pounds, only netted 17.5 million stateside. Of course, I'm not sure how much that was marketed to American audiences.
Penelope Cruz hasn't headlined an American film(Sahara?) in the way Kidman or DDL have. But Vicky Cristina Barcelona was a success, however, that has a built in Woody Allen fanbase.
Marion Cotillard scored a hit with "La Vie En Rose" and "Public Enemies", but I'm not sure anyone would call her a box office draw.
And as noted earlier, Nicole Kidman can bring in the international dollars, but not as many domestic dollars. Both "Austrailia" and "The Golden Compass" lead me to believe this.
Essentially, I want to know if others think that "Nine" will be able to get a big box office draw in America considering its mostly international cast?
I realize there is an argument to be made that this decade especially Americans aren't going to the movies because of who's in the movies. Keeping this in mind I think its important to consider the way that "Nine" has been advertised thus far, which features quite prominently the fact that this is a big cast of stars, I can't help but wonder if this type of advertising will draw Americans to theaters.
In spite of all this, it could very well be a huge hit and follow a "Mama Mia" like path at the box office, making a ton of money both in the U.S. and even more than that internationally. However, I'm very curious to see if the lack of American stars in the film will hurt its domestic tally.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: G.Penn,
Originally posted by G.Penn: Penelope Cruz hasn't headlined an American film(Sahara?) in the way Kidman or DDL have. But Vicky Cristina Barcelona was a success, however, that has a built in Woody Allen fanbase.
If there is a built in Woody Allen fanbase, it's only five million dollars worth. That's how much "Whatever Works" made at the box office. VCB made 4.5 times that amount.
NINE will probably have strong box-office #s overseas, but its box-office success may suffer domestically. Let's face it; no one in this cast is a huge box-office draw to AMERICAN audiences. Now that could certainly change if this film is marketed properly and has good word of mouth.
Plus, musicals still don't do that well with American audiences in this day and age unless they have a big star attached. Mamma Mia did well because it had Meryl Streep; Chicago did well because of Renee Zellweger and Catherine Zeta-Jones and even Richard Gere and Queen Latifah.
This film needs good marketing and strong reviews to do well with American audiences because I don't see audiences lining up to see Daniel Day-Lewis, Judi Dench, Sophia Loren, etc. otherwise.
Originally posted by DoubleD: I understand what G. Penn is saying.
NINE will probably have strong box-office #s overseas, but its box-office success may suffer domestically. Let's face it; no one in this cast is a huge box-office draw to AMERICAN audiences. Now that could certainly change if this film is marketed properly and has good word of mouth.
There you go.
If the film has good word of mouth and is marketed properly? Problem solved.
EDIT: Worked for Slumdog Millionaire, The Hangover, District 9 and Inglorious Basterds.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: stevie,
That makes sense - but flop is not the right word to use, since it implies a money losing film.
The reality is that Chicago if released today would likely only do half the business it did seven years ago. Adults are mainly waiting to see movies at home (look at J&J's decent grosses compared to Prada just 3 years ago; Bright Star's mediocre grosses so far).
Sweeeney Todd did around $50 million in the US/Canada, over $100 million the rest of the world, and made money. It would have been a flop if it had only played in the US.
EC - Golden Compass is one of the more extreme examples of disparity; yet there are still people who seem to think foreign revenues aren't important who still regard it as a flop. It wasn't - it was a big hit.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: seanflynn,
Adults are waiting to see films on DVD because we're in a recession and no one wants to keep wasting money on lousy films. Part of the reason J&J, for instance, hasn't grossed as much as Prada is because word of mouth has been mixed. Most people love the Streep segment, but most loathe the Amy Adams stuff.
And that's pretty much the same story with a lot of these films that are underperforming at the box-office. Word of mouth is mixed (or flat out bad) so people are waiting for DVD.
I know I am.
So word of mouth for a film like NINE with no big box-office draws is critical. Not even multiple Oscar nominations will save NINE if word of mouth is mixed.
The recession is part of it, but it is also Netflix and other DVD resources, the superiority (now clear) of the best of TV/cable to the best of wide release films, the lack of movies for adults leading to the habit being broken, the clear sense that most theatres are meant for younger audiences with older ones feeling out of place, and other factors.
The fall-off is as great among the well-to-do adult audience (which is less affected by the recession, certainly to the extent that they can still easily afford movie tickets) as any other group of adults, maybe even more so.
I personally believe Netflix is one of the greatest creations of this decade. And a lot of TV shows surpass anything that's currently playing in your local cineplex. I've said it once and I'll say it again; a show like 30 ROCK, for instance, is better than any studio comedy that has been released this decade.
I agree with the boxoffice posts. Obviously, the film is gonna make tons of millions of dollars in Europe, Asia, Australia and Latin America. All Spain is going to see Cruz, the same with France and Marion, Sophia in Italy, Italy loves Cruz,Latin America loves Kidman and Cruz, in the UK everybody loves Dench, Kidman, Cruz, Day Lewis; Fergie solo album sold like 8 million worldwide and current Black Eyed Peas album is a Huge ww hit. Kidman has the biggest star power of the movie, her movies bring millions overseas, all have boxoffice power in many markets,so it wont be a flop.
In America are not crazy for any of them , neither Hudson nor Fergie, but I think the movie itself is too big and important to not being a boxoffice success here. Reviews are gonna be essential and in 2002 Zeta Jones wasnt a big boxoffice name neither Rennee, but the movie itself was the success factor. I hope this will happen to NINE. I can see a 250 million of worldwide boxoffice for this film .
This message has been edited. Last edited by: musicboy,
If you're talking domestically, there's no way in hell this movie makes $250 million when "Chicago" couldn't make that much and "Dreamgirls" couldn't make half that amount.
THERE IS ALREADY A THREAD FOR THIS! GO BACK A FEW PAGES AND YOU WILL FIND IT!
2010 Oscars FYC:
Lead Actor - Joseph Gordon-Levitt, (500) Days of Summer Lead Actress - Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds Supporting Actress - Mo'Nique, Precious: Based on the Novel "Push" by Sapphire Original Screenplay - Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, (500) Days of Summer
Posts: 4955 | Location: Why Do You Want To Know? | Registered: November 21, 2006
