Now I know that there are still a few possible contenders that haven't opened yet, but it is less that 2 months away until the nominations are announced on Tuesday, May 5th. So I thought we should go a head and start predicting. So come on one and all and try to predict who will be nominated at the 63rd Annual Tony Awards!
For Your Grammy Consideration: Kristin Chenoweth - in all eligible categories
Hey R2684! Can you please post some of the reviews for "Hair"? I have tickets for May, and I'm dying to know what the critics are saying. I can't access anything here at work. I work for the government, and they block EVERYTHING!
Alright. I haven't been paying much attention to the Broadway season this year, but I'll go ahead and list my top five picks in every category.
BEST ORIGINAL PLAY "33 Variations" "The American Plan" "Dividing the Estate" "God of Carnage" "Reasons to be Pretty"
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY "Blithe Spirit" "Desire Under the Elms" "Equus" "The Seagull" "Speed-the-Plow"
BEST ORIGINAL MUSICAL "9 to 5" "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" (have no idea about this one) "Shrek the Musical" "[title of show]" (guilty pleasure)
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL "Guys and Dolls" "Hair" "Pal Joey" "West Side Story" (no real fifth slot here)
LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY (6 for now) Raul Esparza, "Speed-the-Plow" Richard Griffiths, "Equus" Frank Langella, "A Man for All Seasons" Jeremy Piven, "Speed-the-Plow" Daniel Radcliffe, "Equus" Geoffrey Rush, "Exit the King"
LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY Jane Fonda, "33 Variations" Marcia Gay Harden, "God of Carnage" Janet McTeer, "Mary Stuart" Kristin Scott Thomas, "The Seagull" Dianne Wiest, "All My Sons"
LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL The three boys, "Billy Elliot" Gavin Creel, "Hair" Brian d'Arcy James, "Shrek the Musical" Oliver Platt, "Guys and Dolls" (maybe one of the [title of show] guys?)
LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL Stephanie Block, "9 to 5" Stockard Channing, "Pal Joey" Sutton Foster, "Shrek the Musical" Megan Hilty, "9 to 5" Allison Janney, "9 to 5"
BEST MUSICAL SCORE "Billy Elliot"
BEST MUSICAL BOOK "[title of show]"
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY Angela Lansbury, "Blithe Spirit"
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
This message has been edited. Last edited by: Dr. McPhearson,
---- OSCAR FYC: Best Picture - "Up" Best Actor - Michael Stuhlbarg, "A Serious Man" Best Actress - Saoirse Ronan, "Lovely Bones" Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz, "Basterds" Best Original Screenplay - "Up"
Posts: 1924 | Location: Right behind you. | Registered: December 07, 2007
Bill Irwin, Waiting for Godot Nathan Lane, Waiting for Godot Geoffrey Rush: Exit the King Thomas Sadoski, reasons to be pretty Pablo Schreiber, Desire Under the Elms
Lead Actress: Play
Jane Fonda, 33 Variations Carla Gugino, Desire Under the Elms Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart
Lead Actor: Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik & Kirill Kulish, Billy Elliot Gavin Creel, Hair Brian d'Arcy James, Shrek Oliver Platt, Guys and Dolls Will Swenson, Hair
Lead Actress: Musical
Stephanie Block, 9 to 5 Sutton Foster, Shrek Megan Hilty, 9 to 5 Allison Janney, 9 to 5 Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
Musical
9 to 5 Billy Elliot Next to Normal Shrek
Play
33 Variations Dividing the Estate God of Carnage reasons to be pretty
Featured Actor: Play
Brian Dennehy, Desire Under the Elms John Goodman, Waiting for Godot John Glover, Waiting for Godot Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests Daniel Stewart Sherman, Desire Under the Elms
Featured Actress: Play
Elizabeth Ashley, Dividing the Estate LaTanya Jackson, Joe Turner's Come and Gone Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirts Andrea Martin, Exit the King
Featured Actor: Musical
Daniel Breaker, Shrek Louis Hobson, Next to Normal Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5 Christopher Sieber, Shrek
Featured Actress: Musical
Kathy Fitzgerald, 9 to 5 Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliot Karen Olivo, West Side Story Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey
This message has been edited. Last edited by: rl: emmy lover,
Originally posted by R2684: The only categories with 5 nominees are the acting categories. All others have only 4.
I don't know about EmmyLover, but I already knew that. I just always have that extra slot to make up for... well... me being wrong.
---- OSCAR FYC: Best Picture - "Up" Best Actor - Michael Stuhlbarg, "A Serious Man" Best Actress - Saoirse Ronan, "Lovely Bones" Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz, "Basterds" Best Original Screenplay - "Up"
Posts: 1924 | Location: Right behind you. | Registered: December 07, 2007
Quite a rave today in the NEW YORK TIMES for the revival of August Wilson's "Joe Turner's Come and Gone". Could be competition for best revival with "The Seagull" if people actually bother to see it. Bartlett Sher could also be highly competitive for best director.
Posts: 27141 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003
Originally posted by tonorlo: With this flock of rave-reviewed revivals streaming in, I'm starting to get more than a little nervous for "The Seagull"...
It certainly helps that "Joe Turner..." is still running.
Posts: 27141 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003
DEFINITELY subject to change, but for the time being...
PLAY
The American Plan Dividing the Estate God of Carnage reasons to be pretty
MUSICAL
9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Next to Normal Rock of Ages
REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Desire Under the Elms Exit the King Mary Stuart The Norman Conquests
REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Guys and Dolls Hair Pal Joey West Side Story
LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish, Billy Elliott the Musical Gavin Creel, Hair Brian D’Arcy James, Shrek the Musical Constantine Maroulis, Rock of Ages Will Swenson, Hair LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Stephanie J. Block, 9 to 5 Sutton Foster, Shrek the Musical Megan Hilty, 9 to 5 Allison Janney, 9 to 5 Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Daniel Breaker, Shrek the Musical Louis Hobson, Next to Normal Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliott the Musical Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5 Christopher Sieber, Shrek the Musical
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Kathy Fitzgerald, 9 to 5 Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliott the Musical Karen Olivo, West Side Story Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey Josefina Scaglione, West Side Story
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY
Brian Dennehy, Desire Under the Elms James Gandolfini, God of Carnage David Hyde Pierce, Accent on Youth Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King Thomas Sadoski, reasons to be pretty LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Jane Fonda, 33 Variations Tovah Feldshuh, Irena’s Vow Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart Kristin Scott Thomas, The Seagull Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Zach Grenier, 33 Variations John Benjamin Hickey, Mary Stuart Boris McGiver, Desire Under the Elms Pablo Schreiber, Desire Under the Elms Daniel Stewart Sherman, Desire Under the Elms
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Elizabeth Ashley, Dividing the Estate Hallie Foote, Dividing the Estate LaTanya Richardson Jackson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit Andrea Martin, Exit the King
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliott the Musical Michael Greif, Next to Normal Joe Mantello, 9 to 5 Diane Paulus, Hair
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Robert Falls, Desire Under the Elms Terry Kinney, reasons to be pretty Phyllida Lloyd, Mary Stuart Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests
ORIGINAL SCORE
9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Next to Normal [title of show] BOOK OF A MUSICAL
9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Next to Normal [title of show]
SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL 9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Next to Normal Shrek the Musical
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY Blithe Spirit Desire Under the Elms Joe Turner’s Come and Gone The Norman Conquests
CHOREOGRAPHY
9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Hair Shrek the Musical
COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL 9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Hair Shrek the Musical
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY Blithe Spirit Joe Turner’s Come and Gone The Norman Conquests Mary Stuart
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL 9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Hair Next to Normal
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
Desire Under the Elms Equus Mary Stuart The Norman Conquests
ORCHESTRATIONS
9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Next to Normal Shrek the Musical
SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL 9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical Hair Rock of Ages
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY
Desire Under the Elms God of Carnage Mary Stuart The Norman Conquests
This message has been edited. Last edited by: tonorlo,
Anyone else get the feeling that [title of show] will get a lot more Tony love than is being predicted? With the lukewarm buzz about 9 to 5, I wouldn't at all be surprised if TOS snags a (well deserved, IMHO) nom for Best Musical while 9 to 5 is overlooked.
Anyone else think this could happen? Didn't the cast of TOS also get rave reviews? I wouldn't be surprised if at least one of the four gets nommed.
I didn't mean to totally neglect "Waiting for Godot," but Play Revival is so PACKED this year that it seems like several quality shows are going to get shafted. It may literally come down to the last four entrants of the season, though I'm not looking for "The Philanthropist" to make too big a dent in the proceedings.
PLAY: The American Plan Dividing the Estate*** God of Carnage reasons to be pretty
MUSICAL: 9 to 5 Billy Elliott the Musical*** Next to Normal Rock of Ages
REVIVAL OF A PLAY: Joe Turner's Come and Gone Mary Stuart The Norman Conquests*** Waiting for Godot
REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL: Guys and Dolls Hair*** Pal Joey West Side Story
LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish, Billy Elliott: The Musical*** Matt Cavenaugh, West Side Story Gavin Creel, Hair Brian D’Arcy James, Shrek the Musical Constantine Maroulis, Rock of Ages
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Stephanie J. Block, 9 to 5 Stockard Channing, Pal Joey Megan Hilty, 9 to 5 Allison Janney, 9 to 5 Alice Ripley, Next to Normal***
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: Daniel Breaker, Shrek the Musical Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliott the Musical Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5 Christopher Sieber, Shrek the Musical Will Swenson, Hair***
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Allison Case, Hair Kathy Fitzgerald, 9 to 5 Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliott the Musical*** Karen Olivo, West Side Story Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY: Bill Irwin, Waiting for Godot Nathan Lane, Waiting for Godot Daniel Radcliff, Equus Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King*** Thomas Sadoski, reasons to be pretty
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Jane Fonda, 33 Variations Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart*** Kristin Scott Thomas, The Seagull Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY: Chad L. Coleman, Joe Turner's Come and Gone John Glover, Waiting for Godot John Goodman, Waiting for Godot*** Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests Roger Robinson, Joe Turner's Come and Gone
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Elizabeth Ashley, Dividing the Estate Hallie Foote, Dividing the Estate Carla Gugino, Desire Under the Elms Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit*** Andrea Martin, Exit the King
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL: Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliott: The Musical*** Michael Greif, Next to Normal Joe Mantello, 9 to 5 Diane Paulus, Hair
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY: Phyllida Lloyd, Mary Stuart Anthony Page, Waiting for Godot Bartlett Sher, Joe Turner's Come and Gone Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests***
ORIGINAL SCORE: 9 to 5 Billy Elliott: The Musical*** Next to Normal [title of show]
BOOK OF A MUSICAL: 9 to 5 Billy Elliott: The Musical Next to Normal*** [title of show]
SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL : Billy Elliott: The Musical Guys and Dolls Shrek the Musical*** West Side Story
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY : Blithe Spirit Exit the King Desire Under the Elms*** Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
CHOREOGRAPHY: 9 to 5 Billy Elliott: The Musical*** Hair West Side Story
COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL : Guys and Dolls Hair Shrek the Musical*** West Side Story
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY : Blithe Spirit Equus Exit the King Mary Stuart***
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: 9 to 5 Billy Elliott: The Musical Hair*** Next to Normal
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY: Desire Under the Elms Equus Mary Stuart *** Waiting for Godot
ORCHESTRATIONS: 9 to 5 Billy Elliot: The Musical*** Hair Next to Normal
SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL : 9 to 5 Billy Elliott: The Musical Hair*** Rock of Ages
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY: Joe Turner's Come and Gone Mary Stuart*** The Norman Conquests Waiting for Godot
This message has been edited. Last edited by: pacinofan,
Posts: 27141 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003
Originally posted by YoungRestlessOne: Anyone else get the feeling that [title of show] will get a lot more Tony love than is being predicted? With the lukewarm buzz about 9 to 5, I wouldn't at all be surprised if TOS snags a (well deserved, IMHO) nom for Best Musical while 9 to 5 is overlooked.
Anyone else think this could happen? Didn't the cast of TOS also get rave reviews? I wouldn't be surprised if at least one of the four gets nommed.
I wouldn't count [tos] out of the Best Musical race at all. For sure Billy Elliot and Next to Normal are in. It could certainly turn out that of the remaining contenders ([tos], 9 to 5, Shrek, Rock of Ages), [tos] has the most support.
"Godot", though a fine production it may be, could be at a disadvantage for a nod because it's a less accessible play (I'm starting to feel the same thing about "Exit the King") and there are quite a few juicy crowd-pleasers to contend with.
I definitely think it's likely that all the Directing-Play nominees are from revivals.
From what I've heard, "The Philanthropist" is as lifeless as most Roundabout productions lately.
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003
I think if voters choose GOD OF CARNAGE over DIVIDING THE ESTATE, they're more likely to honor Hallie Foote as best featured actress in a play, in honor of both her and her late father, than throw another Tony Angela Lansbury's way.
Posts: 431 | Location: Texas | Registered: September 02, 2005
I'm not convinced voters will choose "God of Carnage" over "Dividing the Estate". While I enjoyed "Carnage" very much, for me "Estate" was pretty obviously the better play. "Carnage" is of course a star-laden, box office hit so its getting a lot of coverage.
I'm not sure how much should be made of the fact that "Carnage" is currently playing while "Estate" has closed, either. This is often to said to be a big advantage but it's really not. Time and again voters have shown their memories are just fine (recent examples: 2004 Revival of a Play to Henry IV over Raisin in the Sun - also by far the bigger commercial hit; Michelle Pawk winning Featured Actress in a Play for the closed and ignored "Hollywood Arms" over Linda Emond in "Life x 3").
Plus - let's face it - another Tony for Yasmina Reza when Horton Foote has none?
I also think this is going to be not such an easy victory for Angela Lansbury. She absolutely could do it, and New York is thrilled to see her back and working in the theater again - but she does have four Tonys at home. And for me the comedic performance of the season was given by Hallie Foote.
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003
Originally posted by R2684: I'm not convinced voters will choose "God of Carnage" over "Dividing the Estate". While I enjoyed "Carnage" very much, for me "Estate" was pretty obviously the better play. "Carnage" is of course a star-laden, box office hit so its getting a lot of coverage.
I'm not sure how much should be made of the fact that "Carnage" is currently playing while "Estate" has closed, either. This is often to said to be a big advantage but it's really not. Time and again voters have shown their memories are just fine (recent examples: 2004 Revival of a Play to Henry IV over Raisin in the Sun - also by far the bigger commercial hit; Michelle Pawk winning Featured Actress in a Play for the closed and ignored "Hollywood Arms" over Linda Emond in "Life x 3").
Plus - let's face it - another Tony for Yasmina Reza when Horton Foote has none?
I also think this is going to be not such an easy victory for Angela Lansbury. She absolutely could do it, and New York is thrilled to see her back and working in the theater again - but she does have four Tonys at home. And for me the comedic performance of the season was given by Hallie Foote.
What do you think of the odds of "The Seagull" making it into the best revival race at this point? It got great reviews but then this new bunch of late-arriving revivals all are getting great reviews. I kept it out of my line-up but being closed is really the only reason for it.
I had similar concerns in choosing "God of Carnage" over "Dividing the Estate" but all the thoughts you expressed had occurred to me. I will probably go back and forth between them several times before choosing one over the other.
This message has been edited. Last edited by: pacinofan,
Posts: 27141 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003
