(with Drama Desk and Outer Critics Circle nominations; I did not include Drama League noms because there are too many to be meaningful (37 of the 52 names listed are Drama League nominees))
Complete list of those eligible for Leading Actor in a Musical (10):
Roger Bart (Young Frankenstein) - Outer Critics Circle nom Max Crumm (Grease) Daniel Evans (Sunday in the Park with George) - Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Cheyenne Jackson (Xanadu) - Drama Desk nom Sean Palmer (Little Mermaid) Lin-Manuel Miranda (In the Heights) James Snyder (Cry-Baby) Stew (Passing Strange) Paulo Szot (South Pacific) - Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Tom Wopat (A Catered Affair) - Drama Desk nom (as featured actor)
My personal predictions are: Locks to be nominated: Lin-Manuel Miranda, Daniel Evans, Paulo Szot Likely to be nominated: Stew, Tom Wopat Possible to be nominated: Cheyenne Jackson Maybe next year: Roger Bart, Max Crumm, Sean Palmer, James Snyder
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Complete list of those eligible for Leading Actress in a Musical (9):
Sierra Boggess (Little Mermaid)- Drama Desk nom Kerry Butler (Xanadu) Mandy Gonzalez (In the Heights) Patti LuPone (Gypsy) - Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Kelli O'Hara (South Pacific) - Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Laura Osnes (Grease) Faith Prince (A Catered Affair) - Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Jenna Russell (Sunday in the Park with George) - Drama Desk nom Elizabeth Stanley (Cry-Baby)
My personal predictions are: Locks to be nominated: Patti LuPone, Kelli O'Hara, Jenna Russell Likely to be nominated: Kerry Butler, Faith Prince Possible to be nominated: Sierra Boggess, Mandy Gonzalez Maybe next year: Laura Osnes, Elizabeth Stanley
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Complete list of those eligible for Leading Actor in a Play (20!):
An EXTREMELY competitive category – almost all of these actors got favorable reviews and could get nominated in a less competitive year
Kevin Anderson (Come Back Little Sheba) – Outer Critics Circle nom Hank Azaria (Farnsworth Invention) Norbert Leo Butz (Is He Dead?) Kevin Chamberlin (The Ritz) Brian Cox (Rock n Roll) Ben Daniels (Liaisons Dangereuses)– Outer Critics Circle nom Charles Edwards (39 Steps) Laurence Fishburne (Thurgood)– Outer Critics Circle nom (as solo performance) Morgan Freeman (Country Girl) Terrence Howard (Cat on a Hot Tin Roof) James Earl Jones (Cat on a Hot Tin Roof) Kevin Kline (Cyrano de Bergerac) – Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Nathan Lane (November) Jefferson Mays (Pygmalion) Ian McShane (The Homecoming) Chazz Palmintieri (A Bronx Tale) Mark Rylance (Beoing-Boeing)– Drama Desk nom Jimmi Simpson (Farnsworth Invention) Rufus Sewell – Drama Desk nom Patrick Stewart – Outer Critics Circle nom
My personal predictions are: Locks to be nominated: Patrick Stewart Likely to be nominated: Ben Daniels, Laurence Fishburne, Kevin Kline, Mark Rylance, Possible to be nominated (roughly in order): Rufus Sewell, Norbert Leo Butz, Ian McShane, Nathan Lane, James Earl Jones, Charles Edwards, Brian Cox, Morgan Freeman, Jefferson Mays, Chazz Palmintieri Maybe next year: Kevin Anderson, Hank Azaria, Kevin Chamberlin, Terrence Howard, Jimmi Simpson
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Complete list of those eligible for Leading Actress in a Play (13):
Eve Best – Outer Critics Circle nom Margaret Colin (Old Acquaintance) Claire Danes (Pygmalion) Deanna Dunagan (August: Osage County)– Outer Critics Circle nom, Drama Desk nom Kate Fleetwood (Macbeth) Jennifer Garner (Cyrano) Harriet Harris (Old Acquaintance) Laura Linney (Liaisons Dangereuses)– Outer Critics Circle nom Frances McDormand (Country Girl) – Drama Desk nom S Epatha Merkerson (Come Back Little Sheba)– Outer Critics Circle nom Amy Morton (August: Osage County)– Drama Desk nom Martha Plimpton (Cymbeline) Anika Noni Rose (Cat on a Hot Tin Roof)
My personal predictions are: Locks to be nominated: Deanna Dunagan, Amy Morton Likely to be nominated: Kate Fleetwood, Laura Linney, S Epatha Merkerson Possible to be nominated (roughly in order): Eve Best, Anika Noni Rose, Frances McDormand, Claire Danes, Jennifer Garner,Martha Plimpton Maybe next year: Margaret Colin, Harriet Harris
This message has been edited. Last edited by: mikem,
I actually have not looked at my predictions since the nominations were announced, and to pat myself on the back a little, I did pretty well! I got 18 of the 20 nominations, with the two I missed (Eve Best and Rufus Sewell) being my runners-up. The GoldDerby pundits all got between 14 and 16 of the 20, so I'm pleased with how I did!