News & Blogs Award Shows Facts & Dates Galleries Forums    
SEARCH:
Search Entire Site
The Envelope    The Envelope Forum    www.goldderbyforums.com  Hop To Forum Categories  Tonys    2009 Tony Predictions
Page 1 2 3 

Moderators: andrew, Boomer, Paul Sheehan, Rob L
Go
New
Find
Notify
Tools
Reply
  
-star Rating Rate It!  Login/Join 
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by R2684:
Shrek winning Scenic Design of a Musical would be quite an upset, considering it's not even nominated.


You know, I was actually about to post something about this. The fact that it wasn't even nominated is absolutely ridiculous. The rotating stage, particularly during the Travel scene, is incredibly well-done. The fact that its not nominated is a huge snub, in my opinion.

The costumes, on the other hand, are going for the Tony gold.


----
OSCAR FYC:
Best Picture - "Up"
Best Actor - Michael Stuhlbarg, "A Serious Man"
Best Actress - Saoirse Ronan, "Lovely Bones"
Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz, "Basterds"
Best Original Screenplay - "Up"
 
Posts: 1924 | Location: Right behind you. | Registered: December 07, 2007Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Loose Seal
Posted Hide Post
I was also surprised by Shrek's Set Design snub. The nominating committee was relatively pro-Shrek, so its omission is pretty confusing.

LOL, some are saying that Obama's trip to see Joe Turner's Come and Gone may influence voters and help it win Revival. I don't really buy that. If anything, it'll help Roger Robinson who already seems to be very slightly ahead.

Time Out NY released their predictions. They don't take any huge gambles.

Best Musical - Billy Elliot
Best Play - God of Carnage
Best Revival of a Musical - Hair
Best Revival of a Play - The Norman Conquests
Best Director of a Musical - Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot (says it's competitive between him and Paulus)
Best Director of a Play - Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests
Best Actor in a Musical - Billy Elliots (mentions voters' disapproval of the joint nomination/no obvious alternate)
Best Actress in a Musical - Alice Ripley, Next to Normal (landslide)
Best Actor in a Play - Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King (landslide)
Best Actress in a Play - Marica Gay Harden, God of Carnage (adds that neither Jane Fonda nor Janet McTeer can be counted out)
Best Featured Actor in a Musical - Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot (says it's tight between him and Swenson)
Best Featured Actress in a Musical - Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Best Featured Actor in a Play - Roger Robinson, Joe Turner's Come and Gone (mild frontrunner)
Best Featured Actress in a Play - Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit (landslide)
Best Book - Billy Elliot (close)
Best Score - Billy Elliot (50/50 coin toss)
 
Posts: 12802 | Registered: May 08, 2005Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
I didn't find the set for Shrek particularly impressive. It was big, for sure, but not very distinctive or imaginitive. Like most of Shrek, I found it disappointing.

Thanks for posting the TONY stuff, Cederick. Here's the link to that article. It's interesting, with percentages and commentary:
http://newyork.timeout.com/art.../tony-awards-preview

They play it super safe with Billy Elliot winning, like, everything.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
Updated my predictions with a few new categories. Nothing changed from the old ones. Still a few I'm not ready to call, including Best Musical, Book and Score, Best Actress in a Play and a lot of the weirdly competitive design categories.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
MUSICAL: Billy Elliot the Musical
PLAY: God of Carnage
REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL: Hair
REVIVAL OF A PLAY: The Norman Conquests

LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish - Billy Elliot the Musical
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Alice Ripley - Next to Normal
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: Will Swenson - Hair
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Hadyn Gwynne - Billy Elliot the Musical

LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY: Geoffrey Rush - Exit the King
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Marcia Gay Harden - God of Carnage
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY: Roger Robinson - Joe Turner's Come and Gone
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Angela Lansbury - Blithe Spirit

DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL: Stephen Daldry - Billy Elliot the Musical
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY: Matthew Warchus - The Norman Conquests

ORIGINAL SCORE: Tom Kitt, Brian Yorkey - Next to Normal
BOOK OF A MUSICAL: Lee Hall - Billy Elliot the Musical

SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Ian MacNeil - Billy Elliot the Musical
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY: Derek McLane - 33 Variations

COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Tim Hatley - Shrek the Musical
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY: Dale Ferguson - Exit the King

LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Rick Fisher - Billy Elliot the Musical
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY: David Hersey - Equus

SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Paul Arditti - Billy Elliot the Musical
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY: Gregory Clarke - Exit the King

CHOREOGRAPHY: Peter Darling - Billy Elliot the Musical
ORCHESTRATIONS: Martin Koch - Billy Elliot the Musical

SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT: Liza's at the Palace
 
Posts: 18 | Registered: June 29, 2006Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
Sunday night, I'm really pulling for Stockard Channing (Pal Joey), Stephen Mangan (The Norman Conquests), & Gregory Jbara (Billy Elliot, The Musical). Stockard's a pipe dream, yet the others have more-than-substantial chances.
 
Posts: 16 | Registered: May 16, 2007Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
MUSICAL: Billy Elliot the Musical
PLAY: God of Carnage
REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL: Hair
REVIVAL OF A PLAY: The Norman Conquests

LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish - Billy Elliot the Musical
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Alice Ripley - Next to Normal
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: Will Swenson - Hair
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Hadyn Gwynne - Billy Elliot the Musical

LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY: Geoffrey Rush - Exit the King
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Marcia Gay Harden - God of Carnage
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY: Roger Robinson - Joe Turner's Come and Gone
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Angela Lansbury - Blithe Spirit

DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL: Stephen Daldry - Billy Elliot the Musical
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY: Matthew Warchus - The Norman Conquests

ORIGINAL SCORE: Next to Normal
BOOK OF A MUSICAL: Billy Elliot the Musical

SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Billy Elliot the Musical
SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY: Exit the King
COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Shrek the Musical
COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY: Exit the King

LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Billy Elliot the Musical
LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY: Mary Stuart

SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL: Hair
SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY: Exit the King

CHOREOGRAPHY: Billy Elliot the Musical
ORCHESTRATIONS: Billy Elliot the Musical

SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT: Liza's at the Palace
 
Posts: 27163 | Location: Phoenix, AZ | Registered: February 02, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
BEST PLAY
Will/Should:
"God of Carnage"


BEST MUSICAL
Will:
"Billy Elliot, the Musical"
Should:
"Next to Normal" (in my opinion, this is the best new American musical since Ragtime)

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Will:
"The Norman Conquests"
Should:
"Joe Turner's Come and Gone"


BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Will:
"Hair"
Should:
"West Side Story"

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Will:
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish, "Billy Elliot, the Musical"
Should:
J. Robert Spencer, "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Will/Should:
Alice Ripley, "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Will:
Geoffrey Rush, "Exit the King"
Should:
Raul Esparza, "Speed-the-Plow"


BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Should/Will:
Marcia Gay Harden, "God of Carnage"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Will/Should:
Roger Robinson, "Joe Turner's Come and Gone"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Will:
Angela Lansbury, "Blithe Spirit"
Should:
Hallie Foote, "Dividing the Estate"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Will:
Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot the Musical
Should:
Christopher Sieber, "Shrek"
(and where the @#*% is Aaron Tveit!!!)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Will:
Karen Olivo (tho Haydn is thisclose)
Should:
Karen Olivo, "West Side Story"
or
Jennifer Damiano, "Next to Normal"

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Will/Should:
Matthew Warchus , "The Normal Conquests"


BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Will:
Stephen Daldry, "Billy Elliot, the Musical"
Should:
Michael Greif, "Next to Normal"


BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT
Will:
"Liza's at The Palace"
Should:
"You're Welcome America. A Final Night with George W. Bush"

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Will/Should:
Peter Darling, "Billy Elliot, The Musical"


BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Will/Should:
Martin Koch, "Billy Elliot, The Musical"

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY
Will/Should:
Dale Ferguson, "Exit the King"


BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Will/Should:
Ian MacNeil, "Billy Elliot, The Musical"


BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY
Will/Should:
Dale Ferguson, "Exit the King"


BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Will/Should:
Tim Hatley, "Shrek The Musical"

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
Will:
David Hersey, "Equus"
Should:
Brian MacDevitt, "Joe Turner's Come and Gone"


BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Will:
Rick Fisher, "Billy Elliot, The Musical"
Should:
Kevin Adams, "Next to Normal"


BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY
Will/Should:
Gregory Clarke, "Equus"


BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Will:
Paul Arditti, "Billy Elliot, The Musical"
Should:
Brian Ronan, "Next to Normal"

This message has been edited. Last edited by: True Tenor,


You take a hot dog. Stuff it with some jack cheese. Wrap it in a pizza--You got Cheesy Blasters!

Current Top 5 Comedies
1. Modern Family
2. The Office
3. 30 Rock
4. Glee
5. Community

 
Posts: 4479 | Location: Chicago, Illinois | Registered: April 09, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
I agree with a lot of your Shoulds there True Tenor but am totally baffled at how anybody could think the current "West Side Story" is better than "Hair".

"Hair" is the best musical - new or revived - of the season, and right up there with "South Pacific" as the best musical currently running on Broadway.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by Dr. McPhearson:
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY
PREDICTION: Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King
PREFERENCE: Thomas Sadoski, reasons to be pretty
DARK HORSE: Raul Esparza, Speed-the-Plow

Rush is onstage every single second of King, and is one of the finest British character actors, at least in the film world. He's got the movie star aura, and the critic prizes to boot. He does, however, have his detractors, who claim his performance is more than a little over-the-top.


Geoffrey Rush is Australian, not British.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geoffrey_Rush
 
Posts: 182 | Registered: May 12, 2006Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
I haven't heard anybody call Rush's performance over-the-top. It's an Ionesco play. It's not realism. It's pitch-perfect for the style. Absurdism may not be everyone's taste but it's not Rush's fault...in fact even people I've talked to who don't like the play at all think Rush is tremendous.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
Best Play

God of Carnage

Best Musical

Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Book of a Musical

Lee Hall, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Billy Elliot, The Musical
Music: Elton John
Lyrics: Lee Hall

Best Revival of a Play

The Norman Conquests

Best Revival of a Musical

Hair

Best Special Theatrical Event

You’re Welcome America. A Final Night with George W. Bush

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play

Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play

Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical

David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, and Kiril Kulish – Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical

Alice Ripley, Next to Normal

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

Roger Robinson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play

Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical

Christopher Sieber, Shrek The Musical

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical

Karen Olivo, West Side Story

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Derek McLane, 33 Variations

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Mark Wendland, Next to Normal

Best Costume Design of a Play

Anthony Ward, Mary Stuart

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Tim Hatley, Shrek The Musical

Best Lighting Design of a Play

David Hersey, Equus

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Kevin Adams, Next to Normal

Best Sound Design of a Play

Russell Goldsmith, Exit the King

Best Sound Design of a Musical

Paul Arditti, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Direction of a Play

Matthew Warchus, God of Carnage

Best Direction of a Musical

Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, 9 to 5: The Musical

Best Orchestrations

Martin Koch, Billy Elliot, The Musical


2010 Oscars FYC:

Lead Actor - Joseph Gordon-Levitt, (500) Days of Summer
Lead Actress - Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Supporting Actress - Mo'Nique, Precious: Based on the Novel "Push" by Sapphire
Original Screenplay - Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, (500) Days of Summer
 
Posts: 4923 | Location: Why Do You Want To Know? | Registered: November 21, 2006Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
Best Play: God of Carnage
Alternate: Dividing the Estate

Best Musical: Billy Elliot: The Muiscal
Alternate: Next to Normal

Best Book of a Musical: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Next to Normal

Best Score of a Musical: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Next to Normal

Best Revival of a Play: The Norman Conquests
Alternate: Joe Turner’s Come and Gone

Best Revival of a Musical: Hair
Alternate: West Side Story

Best Special Theatrical Event: Liza’s at the Palace…!
Alternate: You’re Welcome, America: A Final Night with George W. Bush

Best Actress in a Play: Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage
Alternate: Jane Fonda, 33 Variations

Best Actor in a Play: Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King
Alternate: James Gandolfini, God of Carnage

Best Featured Actress in a Play: Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit
Alternate: Hallie Foote, Dividing the Estate

Best Featured Actor in a Play: Roger Robinson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Alternate: Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests

Best Actress in a Musical: Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
Alternate: Allison Janney, 9 to 5: The Musical

Best Actor in a Musical: David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Brian d’Arcy James, Shrek the Musical

Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Will Swenson, Hair

Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Alternate: Hadyn Gwynne, Billy Elliot: The Musical

Best Direction of a Play: Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests
Alternate: Matthew Warchus, God of Carnage

Best Direction of a Musical: Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Diane Paulus, Hair

Best Orchestrations: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Next to Normal

Best Choreography: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Hair

Best Scenic Design of a Play: Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Alternate: Exit the King

Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Next to Normal

Best Costume Design of a Play: Mary Stuart
Alternate: Blithe Spirit

Best Costume Design of a Musical: Shrek the Musical
Alternate: Hair

Best Lighting Design of a Play: Equus
Alternate: Mary Stuart

Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Hair

Best Sound Design of a Play: Exit the King
Alternate: Equus

Best Sound Design of a Musical: Billy Elliot: The Musical
Alternate: Rock of Ages
 
Posts: 6 | Registered: May 01, 2009Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
My predictions are updated and finalized in every category. It's a year when I'm hoping against a lot of my predictions.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
The real suspense is between Norman Conquests and Joe Turner's Come & Gone. I wonder how many people actually saw all three nights of NC, and JTC&G has got a good shot of taking this.
 
Posts: 277 | Registered: April 05, 2009Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by R2684:
I agree with a lot of your Shoulds there True Tenor but am totally baffled at how anybody could think the current "West Side Story" is better than "Hair".

"Hair" is the best musical - new or revived - of the season, and right up there with "South Pacific" as the best musical currently running on Broadway.


For me, this came down more to the show itself, and I am not a fan of Hair. It's a preference thing. I don't think it's that great of a show, and I don't think this new production was as daring as it could have been. West Side at least tried some new things, and it's female cast is extraordinary.


You take a hot dog. Stuff it with some jack cheese. Wrap it in a pizza--You got Cheesy Blasters!

Current Top 5 Comedies
1. Modern Family
2. The Office
3. 30 Rock
4. Glee
5. Community

 
Posts: 4479 | Location: Chicago, Illinois | Registered: April 09, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
My dearest friend.. if you don't mind, I'd like to join you by your side...
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by True Tenor:

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Will:
Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot the Musical
Should:
Christopher Sieber, "Shrek"
(and where the @#*% is Aaron Tveit!!!)


AGREED about Aaron Tveit!!!!!! Travesty. He should get a Tony simply for being so gorgeous.


Suddenly I'm flying
Flying like a bird
Like electricity

www.ryanaguirreweb.blogspot.com
 
Posts: 1313 | Location: San Francisco/New York City | Registered: January 19, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
although i have a feeling that goc is going to win, i'd love to see 'reasons to be pretty' score the tony. it really is the first labute play where a male character self-sacrifices. and thomas sadowski carries the arc of the character in a strong sweeping way.
 
Posts: 1 | Registered: June 05, 2009Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by ad-girl:
The real suspense is between Norman Conquests and Joe Turner's Come & Gone. I wonder how many people actually saw all three nights of NC, and JTC&G has got a good shot of taking this.


Tony voters recieved tickets to the Saturday trilogy marathon. I'm sure the vast majority went to all three. I agree it'll be close but I still expect Norman to pull it out.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
Posted Hide Post
quote:
Originally posted by quin browne:
although i have a feeling that goc is going to win, i'd love to see 'reasons to be pretty' score the tony. it really is the first labute play where a male character self-sacrifices. and thomas sadowski carries the arc of the character in a strong sweeping way.


Though I'd have voted for Dividing the Estate, I think reasons to be pretty is every bit God of Carnage's equal -- probably even its superior, despite my general aloofness towards Neil Labute in general. COMPLETELY agree about Thomas Sadoski; of all this year's nominees he is maybe the most unappreciated. He completely carries the play.
 
Posts: 2803 | Location: New York, New York | Registered: August 08, 2003Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
  Powered by Eve Community Page 1 2 3  
 

The Envelope    The Envelope Forum    www.goldderbyforums.com  Hop To Forum Categories  Tonys    2009 Tony Predictions

© Los Angeles Times 2007

Gold Derby
The Dish Rag
Extended Play